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The Dunning-Kruger effect

The Dunning-Kruger effect
April 24, 2014, 04:51:06 AM
  • Unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly rating their ability much higher than is accurate. This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their ineptitude.
  • Those persons to whom a skill or set of skills come easily may find themselves with weak self-confidence, as they may falsely assume that others have an equivalent understanding.

The second half worries me. Smarter people look outside of themselves, and draw wrong conclusions; dumber people look at themselves, and draw wrong conclusions. Either way: wrong conclusions.

Also of note - how the ego can troll you into thinking you have all the answers:


Re: The Dunning-Kruger effect
April 24, 2014, 08:06:49 PM
This worries me too. Low self-esteem seems pretty pervasive.

How do we instill confidence in the intelligent? And if not confidence, hope?

One contributing factor is that our credentialing systems are shit. People don't have a reliable means of affirming their competence. As such, some hope might come from the obsolescence of academia. There's good reason to be optimistic about MOOCs (Massively Open Online Course) being a viable replacement.